Olympique Beja 2-1 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
6.59
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 22%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.77/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.64
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Beja
3W-1D-1L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
05.02.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1B
06.11.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 3-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
29.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
18.05.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-0 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
09.01.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
POST-MATCH Olympique Beja vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja squeezed past ES Metlaoui 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympique Beja as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Olympique Beja and 0.40 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Olympique Beja vs ES Metlaoui?

Olympique Beja 2-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Beja vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympique Beja win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Olympique Beja 53%, draw 30%, ES Metlaoui 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympique Beja) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympique Beja) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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