Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-4 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 69%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.34/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.05
+37% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 4-2 HT 3-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
04.06.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
26.11.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
11.09.2021 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-2 HT 0-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
POST-MATCH Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev got the better of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 1.75 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-4 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 21%, draw 28%, Dynamo Kiev 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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