CA Penarol 2-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.40/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.22
-25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Miramar Misiones 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CA Penarol had 58% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 42%, shots finished 14-2.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Miramar Misiones?

CA Penarol 2-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 58%, draw 24%, Miramar Misiones 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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