Gillingham 1-2 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
13%
5.53
X/X
14%
3.71
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.33
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.60
-29% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
235 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 67%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.7 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
184 Passes 251
59% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.04.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
11.12.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
09.03.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
24.10.2020 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
14.12.2019 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-2
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.26 xG 1.04
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
363 Passes 199
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town edged past Gillingham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gillingham had 62% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 38%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.26 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.00 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?

Gillingham 1-2 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 35%, draw 31%, Fleetwood Town 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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