Nueva Chicago 1-1 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.1pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.07/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.01
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 3-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
08.08.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-3 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
31.03.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
22.04.2014 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-3 HT 0-2 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago and Chacarita Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 2.25 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors?

Nueva Chicago 1-1 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 38%, draw 33%, Chacarita Juniors 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nueva Chicago), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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