Paykan Qazvin 1-1 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
6.28
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.48
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +76%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paykan Qazvin
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.02.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 1-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
19.11.2021 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Paykan Qazvin vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paykan Qazvin and Fajr Sepasi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paykan Qazvin and 1.00 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Paykan Qazvin vs Fajr Sepasi?

Paykan Qazvin 1-1 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paykan Qazvin vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paykan Qazvin 29%, draw 36%, Fajr Sepasi 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (29/36/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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