Al Ahed 2-4 Al Ansar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 25 Feb 2025

Al Ahed
2-4 HT 1-2
Al Ansar
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahed v Al Ansar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -65%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar beat Al Ahed 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahed at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Ansar?

Al Ahed 2-4 Al Ansar in the Lebanon - Premier League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Ansar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 41%, draw 26%, Al Ansar 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahed), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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