Binacional 1-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binacional EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.24/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.45
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.8 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binacional
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Binacional Binacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
07.04.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Binacional Binacional PER
25.07.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Binacional Binacional PER
11.06.2021 Binacional Binacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERKB
21.05.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Binacional Binacional PER
03.02.2020 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Binacional Binacional PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binacional
1-2
AWAY Cusco FC
0.73 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
283 Passes 355
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Binacional vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC edged past Binacional 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Cusco FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Binacional had 45% of the ball to Cusco FC's 55%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.73 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Binacional and 1.33 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Binacional vs Cusco FC?

Binacional 1-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binacional vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Binacional 39%, draw 29%, Cusco FC 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Binacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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