Najma 0-5 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Feb 2026

Najma
0-5 HT 0-3
Al Nassr
📅25/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Najma vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
74%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.19
2-3 Goals
37%
2.33
4-5 Goals
28%
2.25
6+ Goals
16%
3.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
6%
+4.0pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.3pp
74%
Away Win
82%
-7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Najma v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Najma EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.57/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.75
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 86%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
9.6 Crosses 23.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Najma 0-5 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Najma
0-5
AWAY Al Nassr
0.22 xG 2.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
286 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Najma vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Najma 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Najma had 43% of the ball to Al Nassr's 57%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.22 to 2.99.

What was the final score of Najma vs Al Nassr?

Najma 0-5 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Najma vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Najma 10%, draw 15%, Al Nassr 74%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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