Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.96
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-10.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 52%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.56 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
214 Passes 196
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 0-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.09.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.06.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
23.05.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-1
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.44 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
147 Passes 240
63% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Guangzhou Evergrande couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 42% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 58%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.44 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.75 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 31%, draw 31%, Guangzhou Evergrande 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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