Bray Wanderers 1-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Mar 2024

Bray Wanderers
1-1 HT 0-1
Longford Town
📅25/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bray Wanderers v Longford Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.18
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 4.0

Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
22.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
10.03.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.08.2022 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
10.06.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1

Bray Wanderers 1-1 Longford Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Longford Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers and Longford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Longford Town's 44%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.83 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town?

Bray Wanderers 1-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 33%, draw 31%, Longford Town 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Longford Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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