Albacete 1-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
11%
4.37
X/2
12%
6.89
X/X
18%
3.91
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
5.62
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.45/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.28
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.8 Crosses 21.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.16 xG 2.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
161 Passes 511
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 5-4 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.11.2021 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İSPK
01.03.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.09.2007 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
12.03.2006 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
08.10.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-3 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.71 xG 2.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Racing Ferrol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Albacete had 49% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 51%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.71 to 2.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Albacete and 2.17 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Racing Ferrol?

Albacete 1-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Albacete 36%, draw 30%, Racing Ferrol 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albacete), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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