Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
1.12/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.01
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bayreuth
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
15.10.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
25.05.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
02.11.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1-0
AWAY Bayreuth
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg nicked a narrow win over Bayreuth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Viktoria Aschaffenburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Viktoria Aschaffenburg had 55% of the ball to Bayreuth's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 2.00 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 29%, draw 31%, Bayreuth 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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