25/03/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Fenix vs Liniers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
31%
Home Win
35%
33%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenix v Liniers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fenix
The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Liniers
The Market 43%
-9% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-16%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
323 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fenix vs Liniers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fenix edged past Liniers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fenix found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Fenix vs Liniers?
Fenix 2-1 Liniers in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenix vs Liniers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liniers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fenix 31%, draw 33%, Liniers 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liniers), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Liniers)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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