Chacarita Juniors 1-0 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
1.72/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.68
+33% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +75%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
2W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
19.06.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
22.08.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-3 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
14.04.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
09.03.2020 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1-0
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors squeezed past San Martin Tucuman 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Chacarita Juniors made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Chacarita Juniors had 46% of the ball to San Martin Tucuman's 54%, shots finished 5-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 0.75 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?

Chacarita Juniors 1-0 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 38%, draw 30%, San Martin Tucuman 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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