Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.35
-20% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shooting Stars
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
05.11.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 4-1 HT 1-1 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
19.01.2022 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-0 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Shooting Stars 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 2.00 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?

Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 53%, draw 26%, Shooting Stars 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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