Triglav 0-1 NK Brinje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.94/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.02
+86% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-0D-2L
AWAY NK Brinje
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
02.04.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
16.09.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-2 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje squeezed past Triglav 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; NK Brinje found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NK Brinje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Triglav and 1.33 for NK Brinje.

What was the final score of Triglav vs NK Brinje?

Triglav 0-1 NK Brinje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs NK Brinje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Triglav 39%, draw 28%, NK Brinje 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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