GIANA Erminio 0-1 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.42
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
0-1
AWAY Rimini
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini nicked a narrow win over GIANA Erminio 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Rimini found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 54% of the ball to Rimini's 46%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Rimini?

GIANA Erminio 0-1 Rimini in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 37%, draw 31%, Rimini 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →