Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.29
No
38%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
73%
-10.9pp
38%
BTTS No
27%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 40%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-100% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vestri
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Vestri Vestri 2-1 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
08.07.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
17.07.2021 Vestri Vestri 2-1 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
15.05.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
06.09.2020 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
13.06.2020 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
0-1
AWAY Vestri
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri squeezed past Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vestri found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Throttur Reykjavik had 53% of the ball to Vestri's 47%, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vestri led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 1.83 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 Vestri in the Iceland - League Cup on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 33%, draw 28%, Vestri 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vestri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vestri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →