Lübnan U23 0-3 BAE U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — West Asian Championship U23, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübnan U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübnan U23
0-3
AWAY BAE U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lübnan U23 vs BAE U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BAE U23 swept aside Lübnan U23 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day BAE U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lübnan U23 had 51% of the ball to BAE U23's 49%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Lübnan U23 vs BAE U23?

Lübnan U23 0-3 BAE U23 in the West Asian Championship U23 on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübnan U23 vs BAE U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an BAE U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lübnan U23 31%, draw 31%, BAE U23 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BAE U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BAE U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BASU23 More West Asian Championship U23
25 Mar 2025
19:45 Bahreyn U23 vs Suriye U23 Analysis →
22:30 Kuveyt U23 vs Suudi Arabistan U23 Analysis →
22:45 Umman U23 vs Ürdün U23 Analysis →