Deportes Tolima 1-0 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.36/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.93
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
17.4 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
1-0
AWAY Llaneros
1.21 xG 0.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
334 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima edged past Llaneros 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 55% of the ball to Llaneros's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?

Deportes Tolima 1-0 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 54%, draw 28%, Llaneros 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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