Atletico Tembetary 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tembetary EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.67/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.06
+47% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tembetary
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2022 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 1-2 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tembetary
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tembetary vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tembetary squeezed past Sportivo Ameliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tembetary found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Tembetary had 42% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 58%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Atletico Tembetary vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Atletico Tembetary 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tembetary vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tembetary win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tembetary 34%, draw 32%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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