İngiltere U19 1-0 Portekiz U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.29/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.52
+19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
293 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 81%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.2 Crosses 14.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere U19
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Portekiz U19
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.28 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
246 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2022 İngiltere U19 İngiltere U19 2-0 HT 2-0 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 U19
11.10.2018 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 1-4 HT 0-0 İngiltere U19 İngiltere U19 HAZ
15.07.2017 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 1-2 HT 0-0 İngiltere U19 İngiltere U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere U19
1-0
AWAY Portekiz U19
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İngiltere U19 vs Portekiz U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U19 squeezed past Portekiz U19 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İngiltere U19 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İngiltere U19 had 46% of the ball to Portekiz U19's 54%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İngiltere U19 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for İngiltere U19 and 0.67 for Portekiz U19.

What was the final score of İngiltere U19 vs Portekiz U19?

İngiltere U19 1-0 Portekiz U19 in the European U19 on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere U19 vs Portekiz U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İngiltere U19 42%, draw 30%, Portekiz U19 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U19), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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