Gürcistan U19 1-3 Karadağ U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+90% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan U19
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Karadağ U19
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
27.09.2022 Karadağ U19 Karadağ U19 3-1 HT 1-0 Gürcistan U19 Gürcistan U19 U19
08.10.2014 Gürcistan U19 Gürcistan U19 0-2 HT 0-0 Karadağ U19 Karadağ U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan U19
1-3
AWAY Karadağ U19
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gürcistan U19 vs Karadağ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ U19 got the better of Gürcistan U19 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gürcistan U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gürcistan U19 had 59% of the ball to Karadağ U19's 41%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karadağ U19 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gürcistan U19 and 2.50 for Karadağ U19.

What was the final score of Gürcistan U19 vs Karadağ U19?

Gürcistan U19 1-3 Karadağ U19 in the European U19 on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan U19 vs Karadağ U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gürcistan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan U19 43%, draw 27%, Karadağ U19 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gürcistan U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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