Manchester United (K) 2-3 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 25 Mar 2026

📅25/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.12
1/2
7%
20.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
7.85
X/2
16%
4.88
X/X
10%
6.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
2/2
22%
2.47
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
Crosses 16.8
Yellow Cards 0.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
2-3
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.23 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 Passes 480
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) nicked a narrow win over Manchester United (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 46% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 54%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.97.

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Manchester United (K) 2-3 Bayern München (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 32%, draw 24%, Bayern München (K) 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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