Brighton & Hove Albion 0-4 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
0-4 HT 0-3
Manchester City
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.59
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.45
1/2
8%
20.0
1/X
6%
19.7
X/1
6%
16.1
X/2
23%
3.66
X/X
12%
7.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.59
2/X
5%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
56%
Away Win
68%
-11.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 72%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.20/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.82
-6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 524 · 85%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.2
18.5 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Manchester City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
398 Passes 472
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
24.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
22.10.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 3-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
20.04.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
23.10.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
18.05.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-4 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
0-4
AWAY Manchester City
0.62 xG 1.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 734
89% Pass Accuracy 93%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City cruised past Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 35% of the ball to Manchester City's 65%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.62 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 2.50 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City?

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-4 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 21%, draw 23%, Manchester City 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5
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