Ajax (K) 3-0 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
30%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
2.03
No
35%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
80%
-34.1pp
24%
Draw
13%
+10.8pp
30%
Away Win
7%
+23.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.7pp
65%
BTTS Yes
45%
+20.0pp
35%
BTTS No
55%
-20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
3.79/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.99
+78% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
560 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 67%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 0.5
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) swept aside AZ (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs AZ (K)?

Ajax (K) 3-0 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 46%, draw 24%, AZ (K) 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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