Heerenveen 0-8 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Apr 2024

Heerenveen
0-8 HT 0-5
PSV Eindhoven
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
57%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.53
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
10.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
19.15
1/X
5%
18.4
X/1
6%
15.65
X/2
18%
3.82
X/X
8%
8.23
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.6
2/X
7%
18.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.15 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-10.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 71%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.14/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.88
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.5
13.7 Crosses 20.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 2.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
330 Passes 526
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
21.05.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-3 HT 1-2 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
09.10.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
20.02.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
28.11.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.05.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-2 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL

Heerenveen 0-8 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
0-8
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.26 xG 2.95
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 1
261 Passes 605
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven ran out comfortable winners over Heerenveen 8-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Heerenveen had 33% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 67%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.26 to 2.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heerenveen and 2.00 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?

Heerenveen 0-8 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 23%, draw 20%, PSV Eindhoven 57%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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