Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 31%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+82% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
12.04.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-2 HT 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
28.10.2023 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
05.01.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-0 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
30.05.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
13.01.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
13.07.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 1-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan and Paykan Qazvin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.67 for Paykan Qazvin.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Cup on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Rafsanjan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 39%, draw 23%, Paykan Qazvin 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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