Gaddafi 0-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
38%
3.54
Away
40%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.0pp
38%
Draw
25%
+12.3pp
40%
Away Win
56%
-16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 60%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.00/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
211 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaddafi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SC Villa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
13.12.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
16.03.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
10.12.2021 Gaddafi Gaddafi 2-1 HT 1-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
0-1
AWAY SC Villa
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa edged past Gaddafi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 23% / 38% / 40% — and on the day SC Villa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gaddafi had 47% of the ball to SC Villa's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gaddafi and 1.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs SC Villa?

Gaddafi 0-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 23%, draw 38%, SC Villa 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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