Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Apr 2025

Stoke City
0-2 HT 0-1
Sheffield United
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Stoke City vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 38% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.43
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.09
X/2
13%
6.22
X/X
15%
4.2
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.6pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +25%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.30
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.9 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Stoke City vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
14.01.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-1 HT 2-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
08.10.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 3-1 HT 2-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
02.04.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
16.10.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
05.05.2019 Stoke City Stoke City 2-2 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL

Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
0-2
AWAY Sheffield United
0.92 xG 2.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
275 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United got the better of Stoke City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Sheffield United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City had 51% of the ball to Sheffield United's 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.92 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stoke City and 1.67 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Sheffield United?

Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 38%, draw 29%, Sheffield United 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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