Al Hilal Riyadh 7-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.96
Over
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
24%
6.76
2-3
39%
2.17
4-5
25%
2.38
6+
12%
4.51
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.76 — our 24% vs market 9.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.3
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
27.0
X/1
27%
3.98
X/2
6%
29.5
X/X
12%
11.35
2/1
8%
21.5
2/2
5%
24.65
2/X
6%
31.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Al Hilal Riyadh win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
79%
-16.5pp
22%
Draw
12%
+9.1pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.27/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.81
+3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +95%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
486 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
38.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.2 Crosses 10.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
7-0
AWAY Gwangju
3.23 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
488 Passes 271
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh cruised past Gwangju 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 62% of the ball to Gwangju's 38%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 3.23 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Gwangju?

Al Hilal Riyadh 7-0 Gwangju in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 63%, draw 22%, Gwangju 16%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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