Turbine Potsdam (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
68%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.4pp
68%
Away Win
85%
-16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.27/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.36
-79% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +54%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
236 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
7.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
8.0 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.33 xG 2.81
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
166 Passes 531
64% Pass Accuracy 87%
4 Box Touches 39
7 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Turbine Potsdam (K) Turbine Potsdam (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K)
1-3
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.68 xG 2.23
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 13
87 Passes 476
48% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 47
7 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) beat Turbine Potsdam (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Turbine Potsdam (K) had 24% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 76%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.68 to 2.23.

What was the final score of Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Turbine Potsdam (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Turbine Potsdam (K) 11%, draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 68%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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