Novorizontino vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novorizontino v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino 2-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino edged past Atletico Paranaense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Novorizontino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novorizontino had 43% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 57%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.08 to 1.22.
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Atletico Paranaense?
Novorizontino 2-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 37%, draw 30%, Atletico Paranaense 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.