MC Oran 1-0 Oued Akbou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
71%
1.36
Over
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.75
No
68%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
43%
1.83
2-3
37%
1.84
4-5
13%
6.94
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
-0.3pp
68%
BTTS No
68%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Oran EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Akbou EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.17/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.10
-16% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Oran
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Oued Akbou
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.11.2024 Oued Akbou Oued Akbou 3-1 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
25.11.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 1-1 HT 1-1 Oued Akbou Oued Akbou CZYRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Oran
1-0
AWAY Oued Akbou
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Oran vs Oued Akbou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Oran nicked a narrow win over Oued Akbou 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MC Oran as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MC Oran had 59% of the ball to Oued Akbou's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oued Akbou led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MC Oran and 2.00 for Oued Akbou.

What was the final score of MC Oran vs Oued Akbou?

MC Oran 1-0 Oued Akbou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Oran vs Oued Akbou?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MC Oran 46%, draw 29%, Oued Akbou 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Oran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MC Oran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Apr 2025
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