Hellerup IK 1-1 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.64
Over
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.53
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
23%
4.26
6+
10%
21.95
Value flag · 4-5 at 4.26 — our 23% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.84/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.60
-41% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Nykobing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 3-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
09.03.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
25.08.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-3 HT 2-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
02.08.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAK
05.06.2021 Nykobing Nykobing 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
20.11.2020 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
1-1
AWAY Nykobing
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellerup IK and Nykobing shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 52% of the ball to Nykobing's 48%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nykobing led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hellerup IK and 1.50 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs Nykobing?

Hellerup IK 1-1 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellerup IK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 39%, draw 34%, Nykobing 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hellerup IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellerup IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →