Durban City 3-0 Pretoria Callies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.56
Over
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Durban City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 19%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.75/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.30
+26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Durban City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pretoria Callies
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
06.10.2024 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 0-0 HT 0-0 Durban City Durban City GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Durban City
3-0
AWAY Pretoria Callies
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Durban City vs Pretoria Callies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Durban City swept aside Pretoria Callies 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Durban City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Durban City had 57% of the ball to Pretoria Callies's 43%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Durban City vs Pretoria Callies?

Durban City 3-0 Pretoria Callies in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Durban City vs Pretoria Callies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Durban City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Durban City 47%, draw 26%, Pretoria Callies 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Durban City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Durban City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →