Al Ansar 1-0 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar nicked a narrow win over Al Nejmeh 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Ansar 1-0 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 45%, draw 31%, Al Nejmeh 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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