Unirea Slobozia 1-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.64
Over
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.54
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.25
6+
9%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.54 — our 35% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unirea Slobozia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.72
-39% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.2 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unirea Slobozia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
350 Passes 231
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Unirea Slobozia Unirea Slobozia 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
21.10.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 1-0 Unirea Slobozia Unirea Slobozia ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unirea Slobozia
1-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.61 xG 2.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
225 Passes 200
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Unirea Slobozia vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unirea Slobozia and CSMS Iaşi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Unirea Slobozia had 52% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 48%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.61 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Unirea Slobozia and 0.50 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Unirea Slobozia vs CSMS Iaşi?

Unirea Slobozia 1-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unirea Slobozia vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unirea Slobozia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Unirea Slobozia 36%, draw 28%, CSMS Iaşi 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
25 Apr 2025
21:00 Sepsi vs Otelul Galati Analysis →