Makhachkala 2-3 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 57%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.55/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.31
-66% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
20.8 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.66 xG 2.06
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 11
175 Passes 360
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
2-3
AWAY Krasnodar
1.99 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
174 Passes 268
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past Makhachkala 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Makhachkala had 44% of the ball to Krasnodar's 56%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.99 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?

Makhachkala 2-3 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 26%, draw 23%, Krasnodar 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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