AZ U19 0-1 Barcelona U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 25 Apr 2025

AZ U19
0-1 HT 0-1
Barcelona U19
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

AZ U19 vs Barcelona U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.15
Over Pick
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.96
2-3
43%
1.83
4-5
25%
2.94
6+
12%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.47
1/2
4%
20.7
1/X
9%
16.2
X/1
13%
8.69
X/2
12%
4.32
X/X
12%
6.1
2/1 ✗
8%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.27
2/X
7%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ U19 v Barcelona U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.59/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.08
+114% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
5.7 Crosses 5.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

AZ U19 vs Barcelona U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barcelona U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.41 xG 1.01
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
265 Passes 571
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.03.2023 Barcelona U19 Barcelona U19 0-3 HT 0-0 AZ U19 AZ U19 UEGL

AZ U19 0-1 Barcelona U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ U19
0-1
AWAY Barcelona U19
0.80 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
281 Passes 484
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
30 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ U19 vs Barcelona U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona U19 nicked a narrow win over AZ U19 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona U19 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ U19 had 40% of the ball to Barcelona U19's 60%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.80 to 1.64.

What was the final score of AZ U19 vs Barcelona U19?

AZ U19 0-1 Barcelona U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AZ U19 32%, draw 27%, Barcelona U19 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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