Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.61/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.13
+29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.0 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
1-0
AWAY Nanjing City
1.05 xG 0.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
377 Passes 149
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen edged past Nanjing City 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guangxi Hengchen had 67% of the ball to Nanjing City's 33%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.05 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Nanjing City?

Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 52%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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