Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 3-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
3-2 HT 1-1
Manchester City (K)
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
61%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.3pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.34/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.86
+17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
206 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
12.9 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.73 xG 2.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
278 Passes 454
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 43
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.09.2025 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
30.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
29.09.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
17.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-4 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
27.01.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 3-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
3-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.86 xG 2.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
268 Passes 335
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 45
3 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) nicked a narrow win over Manchester City (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester City (K) carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 45% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 55%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.86 to 2.36 — on chances, Manchester City (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 2.83 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 3-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 20%, draw 19%, Manchester City (K) 61%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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