Smedby AIS 4-1 Karlslunds IF HFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smedby AIS EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlslunds IF HFK EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.70/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.55
+19% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +30%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smedby AIS
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Karlslunds IF HFK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.10.2023 Karlslunds IF HFK Karlslunds IF HFK 0-5 HT 0-1 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
11.06.2023 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS 3-0 HT 0-0 Karlslunds IF HFK Karlslunds IF HFK İSÇ4
08.08.2021 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS 1-4 HT 1-0 Karlslunds IF HFK Karlslunds IF HFK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Smedby AIS vs Karlslunds IF HFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smedby AIS cruised past Karlslunds IF HFK 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Smedby AIS as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Smedby AIS had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Smedby AIS and 1.33 for Karlslunds IF HFK.

What was the final score of Smedby AIS vs Karlslunds IF HFK?

Smedby AIS 4-1 Karlslunds IF HFK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smedby AIS vs Karlslunds IF HFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smedby AIS win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Smedby AIS 60%, draw 20%, Karlslunds IF HFK 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smedby AIS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smedby AIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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