Alcione 2-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.87/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
-25% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
0W-0D-3L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-0 HT 2-0 Alcione İTC
18.04.2025 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcione İTC
08.12.2024 Alcione 0-2 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
2-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcione vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione nicked a narrow win over AlbinoLeffe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Alcione found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alcione had 42% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 58%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Alcione and 1.67 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Alcione vs AlbinoLeffe?

Alcione 2-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated an AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alcione 33%, draw 30%, AlbinoLeffe 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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