Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-3 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.76
No
34%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
53%
+12.8pp
34%
BTTS No
47%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.62/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.13
-47% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
28.0 Crosses 11.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
15.02.2025 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) ALKB
30.09.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
4-3
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
3.20 xG 3.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
241 Passes 291
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) edged past Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Essen-Schönebeck (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 47% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 53%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 3.20 to 3.03.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Essen-Schönebeck (K) and 0.67 for Carl Zeiss Jena (K).

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-3 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 52%, draw 23%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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