Haka 2-2 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 Apr 2026

Haka
2-2 HT 0-1
KaPa
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
3.57/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.53
+64% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
0W-1D-0L
AWAY KaPa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2026 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
2-2
AWAY KaPa
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haka vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka and KaPa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Haka carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Haka had 58% of the ball to KaPa's 42%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Haka vs KaPa?

Haka 2-2 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Haka 64%, draw 20%, KaPa 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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