Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 25 Apr 2026

Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-5 HT 1-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
64%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
12%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
64%
Away Win
68%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.7pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parceiro Nagano (K) v Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 72%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.74/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.22
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.4

Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.10.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
29.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
23.11.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
03.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-5
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) ran out comfortable winners over Parceiro Nagano (K) 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 43% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 57%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 11%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 64%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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