Supra du Québec 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

Supra du Québec
2-1 HT 1-1
HFX Wanderers
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2026

Supra du Québec vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Supra du Québec v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Supra du Québec EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
– Crosses 18.0
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Supra du Québec 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Supra du Québec
2-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.18 xG 1.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
488 Passes 254
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Supra du Québec vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Supra du Québec squeezed past HFX Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Supra du Québec found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Supra du Québec had 63% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 37%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.18 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Supra du Québec vs HFX Wanderers?

Supra du Québec 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Supra du Québec vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Supra du Québec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Supra du Québec 39%, draw 25%, HFX Wanderers 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Supra du Québec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Supra du Québec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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