Notodden 0-1 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
10%
5.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notodden
0-1
AWAY Bjarg
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg nicked a narrow win over Notodden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Notodden had 44% of the ball to Bjarg's 56%, shots finished 4-15.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Bjarg?

Notodden 0-1 Bjarg in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Notodden 33%, draw 20%, Bjarg 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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